Thursday, September 25, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H– AMA
8125
8163
5 L- AMA
8020
8070
5 AMA
8048
8085
13 AMA
8074
8066
21 AMA
8150
8200
34 AMA
8140
8141
89 AMA
8225
8325
144 AMA
8055
8070


NIFTY AMA :

SUPPORT :         Nil
RESISTANCE :   8070 - 8075


Nifty broke the crucial support of 8040 and has reversed gears for the moment until there are some positive clues from the AMA table.

We mentioned clearly in the last post, that there were 2 support levels and one could use either depending on their risk profile. The 1st support of 8125 got broken and we exited our longs to be safe from knee jerk reactions near ATH's and that's exactly what happened. Nifty gave a ferocious down move and also broke the crucial 2nd support zone at 8040. With this, all longs have to exit and bounces near resistance bands should be used to create shorts.

The market has changed it's gears and the AMA table suggests a Sell on Rise approach for now until Nifty manages to close above the resistance band. One should short as close as possible to the above mentioned resistance zone to keep stops minimal.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!














 

Monday, September 22, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8150
8145
5 L - AMA
8047
8037
5 AMA
8145
8153
13 AMA
8125
8125
21 AMA
8170
8210
34 AMA
8135
8122
89 AMA
8215
8320
144 AMA
8030
8035


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         8030 - 8040
RESISTANCE :   8170 - 8210


In our last post, we had clearly mentioned that the price action of the next 2 days would reveal Nifty's intention and it was crucial to hold onto the 144AMA support for Nifty to rally further. Bingo !!!

Markets did exactly that and saluted the support of  the 144AMA with an almost 500point rally. This is the amazing brilliance of the AMA table.

As per the AMA table, there is now short term support in the 8120 - 8130 range which is very close to today's closing and there is resistance from the 21AMA in the 8170 - 8210 band. The crucial support for Nifty however comes in at the 8030 - 8040 zone where the all critical and super support of 144AMA has come upto. Thus, traders may adopt any one of the supports as their stops depending on their personal risk profile.

 Below 8030, all longs have to exit as a convincing close below this important support zone will signal a deeper correction and we would not want to be caught on the wrong side of the market near ATH's. Such clear trend deciding levels are the forte of this table and will not be mentioned anywhere else. Everyone should utilise this to their benefit and their trading in the markets will improve by leaps and bounds.



Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!















 

Wednesday, September 17, 2014





NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8053
8043
5 L - AMA
7963
7958
5 AMA
7975
7972
13 AMA
8137
8175
21 AMA
8152
8187
34 AMA
8090
8060
89 AMA
8180
8287
144 AMA
7968
7957


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7950 - 7960
RESISTANCE :   8050 - 8070


Nifty is on the verge of breaking the support of the 144AMA which has not happened in a long time. Nifty has managed to smartly bounce off this crucial support every time in this rally. Therefore, tomorrow's session becomes crucial for Nifty where it should manage to close above this important support zone.

Nifty should some convincing strength from this support zone and close comfortably above the 8000 zone to continue with its rally. Any weakness in momentum in staging a rally from this support zone will make this bounce corrective and hint at a larger decline to follow. The 144AMA is in rising mode and rising quickly at that. However, with the pace that the 144AMA is rising it looks difficult for Nifty to scale up with ferocious momentum. Thus, there are higher chances for Nifty to break down further.

The next 2 days price action will provide us with further clues. We will be ready to take a trade on either side.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!

Monday, September 1, 2014

NIFTY AMA



NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8012
7995
5 L - AMA
7977
7960
5 AMA
8013
8002
13 AMA
8007
8030
21 AMA
7920
7885
34 AMA
7915
7875
89 AMA
8015
8100
144 AMA
7780
7734



NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :          7915 - 7920
RESISTANCE :    8030 - 8100


First things first. Three cheers on this jubilant time for the Indian Markets.
Nifty has a historic high of 8000++ !!!! Well Done.

In line with our buy on dips expectations and from our buy level of 7620 Nifty has given more than 400 points positionally. In our previous post we had mentioned to book part profits near the upper zone of the resistance band near 7990. Well that target was achieved and crossed with some vigour by the Dalal Street Bulls. We will now trail the rest of the longs with a stop at the support band of the 21AMA which is currently placed at the 7920 zone and will rise with each trading session.

One thing that can be noticed from the AMA table is that the 7970 - 8000 band becomes very crucial for the Nifty to hold onto in order to continue with this momentum and rally. Let me explain. As one can see the 13AMA has risen right upto the 8000 - 8030 zone. Therefore, Nifty should not loose momentum at this stage or else it will fall below the 13AMA which will slightly dampen the bull scenario. There is also overhead resistance in the form of upper band of the 89AMA placed at 8100 which is yet to be crossed for Nifty to go into unchartered territory. Nifty has managed to close above the lower band of the 89AMA and should hold onto this in order to scale up to the upper band and break above it. Thus, the zone of 7970 - 8000 becomes important to protect. Such clues can be only got from the brilliant AMA table.


The AMA table will alert us incase the trend reverses. Till then, Ride this trend up with the remaining longs and our mentioned stop loss. Even if the stop triggers we will still go home with a 300+ point gain.


Cheers.

Happy Trading !!!