Thursday, June 12, 2014

NIFTY AMA





NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7780
7810
5 L - AMA
7675
7700
5 AMA
7730
7760
13 AMA
7630
7580
21 AMA
7650
7695
34 AMA
7520
7465
89 AMA
7175
7060
144 AMA
6985
6920


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :          7520 - 7580
RESISTANCE :    7650 - 7700


Nifty took resistance at our mentioned resistance band and sold off nearly a 100 points from the highs to take support at the 13AMA. That's how brilliantly the AMA support and resistance levels work.

As one can see with today's price action Nifty has weakened a bit and the next 2 trading sessions remain absolutely crucial. The Nifty is trading below the 21AMA and just above the 13AMA. Therefore, the price action in the next 2 sessions will give us further clue to Nifty's underlying intentions. Break of the 13AMA will call in for aggressive shorts and break of the crucial 34AMA will enable us to go short convincingly as mentioned previously.

Holding on to the 13AMA is crucial for Nifty to maintain it's upside momentum.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!

















 

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7740
7760
5 L - AMA
7633
7645
5 AMA
7725
7745
13 AMA
7605
7560
21 AMA
7623
7670
34 AMA
7487
7435
89 AMA
7145
7030
144 AMA
6965
6902


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7560 - 7600
RESISTANCE :   7670 - 7740


Nifty formed a hanging man after breaking below the 7600 level in intraday to close slightly positive by the end of the day.

The AMA table shows that Nifty took support of the 13AMA and bounced but it closed the day below the upper band of the 21AMA. How Nifty reacts from these support and resistance bands from hereon will be interesting to see. Price and momentum are crucial now. As of now, Nifty is in neutral territory and longs should be held on with strict stop of the lower band of the 21AMA on closing basis.

Aggressive Shorts below 13AMA and conservative on break below the 34AMA.

Till then enjoy the trend with strict stops as a reversal here can be sharp and swift. Protect profits.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!













 

Monday, June 9, 2014

NIFTY AMA



NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7675
7685
5 L - AMA
7588
7607
5 AMA
7665
7670
13 AMA
7570
7540
21 AMA
7590
7645
34 AMA
7450
7400
89 AMA
7120
7002
144 AMA
6945
6885


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7550 - 7570
RESISTANCE :   7675 - 7685


Nifty having broken out of the squeeze has rallied smartly and closed above all the AMA's. It is therefore in unchartered territory without any overhead resistances for now.


The key thing to observe here is that the AMA's are hot on Nifty's heels and therefore maintaining momentum is the most critical aspect. If Nifty looses momentum then it will fall below the AMA's. The most crucial remains the 34AMA from where Nifty bounced off the last time. That will remain the crucial AMA below which we can convincingly go short. Aggressive shorts can also be created on break below the 13AMA with an appropriate stop. However, till the no shorts are to indulged in and longs are to be carried with strict stops.

Till then ride the trend.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!









 

Friday, June 6, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7493
7510
5 L - AMA
7410
7430
5 AMA
7495
7520
13 AMA
7472
7480
21 AMA
7505
7560
34 AMA
7375
7330
89 AMA
7065
6950
144 AMA
6905
6855


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7350 - 7375
RESISTANCE :   7480 - 7550


Nifty managed to gain momentum post testing the crucial support of 34AMA and is now testing the resistance zone of the 21AMA.

Despite the rallies and the all time closing highs on Nifty, it has been unable to break past the resistance of the 21AMA and it is yet sandwiched between the 21 & 34 AMA band. It is yet playing within the range. Tomorrow is the important weekly closing and it will be interesting to see if Nifty closes strong without getting sold off on pretext of weekend profit booking.

India Vix is at it's support band. Nifty is near the resistance zone of the 21AMA. A correction is overdue. Tomorrow's price pattern should be watched carefully.

The crucial support remains the 34AMA and only below that one should go short convincingly.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!









 

Wednesday, June 4, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7418
7402
5 L - AMA
7345
7310
5 AMA
7415
7408
13 AMA
7450
7480
21 AMA
7463
7501
34 AMA
7342
7295
89 AMA
7040
6930
144 AMA
6890
6842



NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7300 - 7350
RESISTANCE :   7450 - 7480


Nifty is yet in the range squeeze and clarity should emerge soon by the end of the week.

A move above the resistance band is needed to gather momentum. Whereas a fall below the 34AMA will be considered as a reversal and an opportunity to go short for the 89 & 144AMA and lower.

The momentum needs to be gathered quickly as the 34AMA is fast closing in on the Nifty and should be close to 7400 in a day or two. Hence, today's low becomes an important pivot for Nifty and sustaining below that might open the doorways towards it's journey downhill.

An important weekly close coming up. Be alert.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!















 

Tuesday, June 3, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7370
7335
5 L - AMA
7255
7215
5 AMA
7357
7320
13 AMA
7447
7495
21 AMA
7430
7447
34 AMA
7317
7270
89 AMA
7020
6910
144 AMA
6875
6830



NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7270 - 7320
RESISTANCE :   7430 - 7450


Nifty though showing signs of momentum is failing to convincingly close above the resistances of 13 & 21AMA. It is yet range bound between the crucial 21 & 34AMA.

The coming few days are going to be crucial for the markets and things will become clearer by the end of this week. The resistance and support band are clearly mentioned. Break of either will help Nifty gain momentum. The bias however, remains negative for now.



Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!















 

Monday, June 2, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7311
7278
5 L - AMA
7195
7180
5 AMA
7295
7265
13 AMA
7430
7495
21 AMA
7390
7395
34 AMA
7290
7245
89 AMA
7000
6890
144 AMA
6860
6820


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7250 - 7300
RESISTANCE :   7390 - 7430



Nifty bounced off strongly from the support of 34AMA and is now within striking distance of the critical 7400 level.


Nifty is following the AMA table perfectly. Even with such a huge upmove Nifty has not managed to cross the resistance of the 21AMA. It is yet sandwiched between the 21 & 34AMA which are acting as crucial resistance and support zones respectively.

A break below the 34AMA from here, after such a big rally will be considered very weak and we can see Nifty targeting the 144AMA and lower if it happens.

Tomorrow is a crucial day with the RBI policy hence volatility will be on the rise. It is crucial for Nifty to break through and close above the 7400 level to sustain the momentum.



Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!