Tuesday, October 14, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H– AMA
7915
7928
5 L- AMA
7812
7820
5 AMA
7875
7893
13 AMA
7848
7827
21 AMA
7923
7918
34 AMA
8055
8120
89 AMA
8220
8320
144 AMA
8150
8210


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7820 - 7850
RESISTANCE :    7920 - 7930


Firstly, apologies for the inconsistent posting. Have been tied up recently and not been able to update blog regularly.


Now continuing the thread from our last post where we had clearly mentioned to adopt a "Sell on Rise" stance. That strategy has worked very well and the entire credit goes to the AMA table.

We gave an exit from our longs at 8125 and we also advised shorts below 8040. In a market where most of the analysts were clueless about Nifty's next move, the AMA table gave us near perfect long, short & profit booking points. What more do u want folks!!!

Now with today's closing Nifty has broken and closed above the 13AMA. This signals a pause in the current downtrend or may even be a hint that the correction is over. Therefore, one may book their shorts out partially and trail the rest with stop at the mentioned resistance band. To add confirmation, Nifty needs to close above the 21AMA which currently lies at the 7920 zone. A break above this zone will indicate change of gears and the market will be back in the long mode. So keep an eye on these levels. Failure to break and sustain above the 21AMA will push Nifty lower. Some decisive trend will emerge in the coming few trading sessions.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!











 

Thursday, September 25, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H– AMA
8125
8163
5 L- AMA
8020
8070
5 AMA
8048
8085
13 AMA
8074
8066
21 AMA
8150
8200
34 AMA
8140
8141
89 AMA
8225
8325
144 AMA
8055
8070


NIFTY AMA :

SUPPORT :         Nil
RESISTANCE :   8070 - 8075


Nifty broke the crucial support of 8040 and has reversed gears for the moment until there are some positive clues from the AMA table.

We mentioned clearly in the last post, that there were 2 support levels and one could use either depending on their risk profile. The 1st support of 8125 got broken and we exited our longs to be safe from knee jerk reactions near ATH's and that's exactly what happened. Nifty gave a ferocious down move and also broke the crucial 2nd support zone at 8040. With this, all longs have to exit and bounces near resistance bands should be used to create shorts.

The market has changed it's gears and the AMA table suggests a Sell on Rise approach for now until Nifty manages to close above the resistance band. One should short as close as possible to the above mentioned resistance zone to keep stops minimal.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!














 

Monday, September 22, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8150
8145
5 L - AMA
8047
8037
5 AMA
8145
8153
13 AMA
8125
8125
21 AMA
8170
8210
34 AMA
8135
8122
89 AMA
8215
8320
144 AMA
8030
8035


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         8030 - 8040
RESISTANCE :   8170 - 8210


In our last post, we had clearly mentioned that the price action of the next 2 days would reveal Nifty's intention and it was crucial to hold onto the 144AMA support for Nifty to rally further. Bingo !!!

Markets did exactly that and saluted the support of  the 144AMA with an almost 500point rally. This is the amazing brilliance of the AMA table.

As per the AMA table, there is now short term support in the 8120 - 8130 range which is very close to today's closing and there is resistance from the 21AMA in the 8170 - 8210 band. The crucial support for Nifty however comes in at the 8030 - 8040 zone where the all critical and super support of 144AMA has come upto. Thus, traders may adopt any one of the supports as their stops depending on their personal risk profile.

 Below 8030, all longs have to exit as a convincing close below this important support zone will signal a deeper correction and we would not want to be caught on the wrong side of the market near ATH's. Such clear trend deciding levels are the forte of this table and will not be mentioned anywhere else. Everyone should utilise this to their benefit and their trading in the markets will improve by leaps and bounds.



Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!















 

Wednesday, September 17, 2014





NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8053
8043
5 L - AMA
7963
7958
5 AMA
7975
7972
13 AMA
8137
8175
21 AMA
8152
8187
34 AMA
8090
8060
89 AMA
8180
8287
144 AMA
7968
7957


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7950 - 7960
RESISTANCE :   8050 - 8070


Nifty is on the verge of breaking the support of the 144AMA which has not happened in a long time. Nifty has managed to smartly bounce off this crucial support every time in this rally. Therefore, tomorrow's session becomes crucial for Nifty where it should manage to close above this important support zone.

Nifty should some convincing strength from this support zone and close comfortably above the 8000 zone to continue with its rally. Any weakness in momentum in staging a rally from this support zone will make this bounce corrective and hint at a larger decline to follow. The 144AMA is in rising mode and rising quickly at that. However, with the pace that the 144AMA is rising it looks difficult for Nifty to scale up with ferocious momentum. Thus, there are higher chances for Nifty to break down further.

The next 2 days price action will provide us with further clues. We will be ready to take a trade on either side.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!

Monday, September 1, 2014

NIFTY AMA



NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
8012
7995
5 L - AMA
7977
7960
5 AMA
8013
8002
13 AMA
8007
8030
21 AMA
7920
7885
34 AMA
7915
7875
89 AMA
8015
8100
144 AMA
7780
7734



NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :          7915 - 7920
RESISTANCE :    8030 - 8100


First things first. Three cheers on this jubilant time for the Indian Markets.
Nifty has a historic high of 8000++ !!!! Well Done.

In line with our buy on dips expectations and from our buy level of 7620 Nifty has given more than 400 points positionally. In our previous post we had mentioned to book part profits near the upper zone of the resistance band near 7990. Well that target was achieved and crossed with some vigour by the Dalal Street Bulls. We will now trail the rest of the longs with a stop at the support band of the 21AMA which is currently placed at the 7920 zone and will rise with each trading session.

One thing that can be noticed from the AMA table is that the 7970 - 8000 band becomes very crucial for the Nifty to hold onto in order to continue with this momentum and rally. Let me explain. As one can see the 13AMA has risen right upto the 8000 - 8030 zone. Therefore, Nifty should not loose momentum at this stage or else it will fall below the 13AMA which will slightly dampen the bull scenario. There is also overhead resistance in the form of upper band of the 89AMA placed at 8100 which is yet to be crossed for Nifty to go into unchartered territory. Nifty has managed to close above the lower band of the 89AMA and should hold onto this in order to scale up to the upper band and break above it. Thus, the zone of 7970 - 8000 becomes important to protect. Such clues can be only got from the brilliant AMA table.


The AMA table will alert us incase the trend reverses. Till then, Ride this trend up with the remaining longs and our mentioned stop loss. Even if the stop triggers we will still go home with a 300+ point gain.


Cheers.

Happy Trading !!!











 

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

NIFTY AMA




NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7937
7960
5 L - AMA
7878
7895
5 AMA
7927
7950
13 AMA
7770
7715
21 AMA
7799
7805
34 AMA
7813
7790
89 AMA
7915
7992
144 AMA
7665
7605


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :         7800 - 7820
RESISTANCE :   7920 - 7990


Nifty having moved in tandem with our Buy on Dips strategy has trapped majority of the bears on the street and propelled the market to new highs with some buying and some short covering.

Our Buy at 7620 levels worked perfectly with a stop at 7600 as a low risk opportunity mentioned in the previous post on 12th August. We have pocketed close to 300 points with the initial risk of a mere 20 points. This is the sheer brilliance of the AMA table which keeps churning out such trades on a regular basis. All that is needed is to follow the table with discipline and trade without emotional bias.

As per the AMA table there is resistance in the zone of 7920 - 7990 where the 89AMA is holding fort for the bears. Meaningful support comes in at 7800 - 7820. Even the short term 5AMA's have converged upwards to provide some resistance near the 7950 zone. Therefore, it is advised to book part profits in the upper band of this resistance zone and hold the rest with trailing stops at the support band.

We may expect Nifty to continue to climb upwards on holding this support band of the 34AMA although with slower momentum. As we approach the psychological 8000 mark there is bound to be some sort of profit booking and volatile moves. Thus, booking profits would be the sensible thing to do.

Till then enjoy the longs and the trending ride.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!











 

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

NIFTY AMA





NIFTY AMA
RANGE
5 H – AMA
7610
7617
5 L - AMA
7575
7585
5 AMA
7583
7580
13 AMA
7676
7710
21 AMA
7713
7720
34 AMA
7770
7755
89 AMA
7863
7930
144 AMA
7599
7532


NIFTY BANDS :

SUPPORT :          7550 - 7600
RESISTANCE :    7710 - 7720


Nifty after having consolidated in the range of 7600 - 7800 and tested the upper band of the 144AMA, has bounced back and showing signs of momentum.

As long as the 144AMA is intact and Nifty floats above it, one may expect Nifty to bounce again. Nifty will break out above 7676 which is also the lower band of the 13AMA and a break above that will bring in the needed momentum. This is a low risk buying opportunity with 7600 as the stop.

Buy on Dips.


Trade as per levels.

Happy Trading !!!